So if there was 1 excess death in 2020 and 15 in 2022 out of a population of 20 million thats a 1,500% increase in excess deaths.
This is not a proper way of calculating it. You need to calculate the % of Excess Deaths over Expected Deaths (say over a 2016-2019 baseline) This is still high but not wildly exciting, but its the correct way
All very well argued Donny, and that is why I look at the number of standard deviations above the average before claiming that the "excess" deaths are statistically significant. Once the number of deaths is more than 2 standard deviations above the 5 year average, you can be pretty sure that something is going on, and that my friend is exactly what is happening.
Excess Mortality -as a quantity utilized by the CDC, is based upon a formula/calculation with guesstimates for input. All-Cause Mortality figures are another thing entirely- not sure what you're positing here as the the terminology needs clarification...
My final stab at 'excess' deaths before we all completely lose our minds
Thanks, I appreciate you putting this into perspective. 🙏💕
So if there was 1 excess death in 2020 and 15 in 2022 out of a population of 20 million thats a 1,500% increase in excess deaths.
This is not a proper way of calculating it. You need to calculate the % of Excess Deaths over Expected Deaths (say over a 2016-2019 baseline) This is still high but not wildly exciting, but its the correct way
All very well argued Donny, and that is why I look at the number of standard deviations above the average before claiming that the "excess" deaths are statistically significant. Once the number of deaths is more than 2 standard deviations above the 5 year average, you can be pretty sure that something is going on, and that my friend is exactly what is happening.
Excess Mortality -as a quantity utilized by the CDC, is based upon a formula/calculation with guesstimates for input. All-Cause Mortality figures are another thing entirely- not sure what you're positing here as the the terminology needs clarification...
thx
Something nefarious IS going on because ignoring excess mortality IS nefarious by definition.
Good topic, I read this the other day
https://expose-news.com/2022/12/01/secret-gov-reports-2-mllion-died-suddenly/
Japan said to have 82k XS deaths in 2022, 2k in 2020! This is a very interesting way to see the deaths, (the site's data ends at Sept 22)
https://exdeaths-japan.org/en/graph/numberof