28 Comments

Thanks, I appreciate you putting this into perspective. 🙏💕

Expand full comment

So if there was 1 excess death in 2020 and 15 in 2022 out of a population of 20 million thats a 1,500% increase in excess deaths.

This is not a proper way of calculating it. You need to calculate the % of Excess Deaths over Expected Deaths (say over a 2016-2019 baseline) This is still high but not wildly exciting, but its the correct way

Expand full comment

All very well argued Donny, and that is why I look at the number of standard deviations above the average before claiming that the "excess" deaths are statistically significant. Once the number of deaths is more than 2 standard deviations above the 5 year average, you can be pretty sure that something is going on, and that my friend is exactly what is happening.

Expand full comment

Excess Mortality -as a quantity utilized by the CDC, is based upon a formula/calculation with guesstimates for input. All-Cause Mortality figures are another thing entirely- not sure what you're positing here as the the terminology needs clarification...

thx

Expand full comment

Something nefarious IS going on because ignoring excess mortality IS nefarious by definition.

Expand full comment

Good topic, I read this the other day

https://expose-news.com/2022/12/01/secret-gov-reports-2-mllion-died-suddenly/

Japan said to have 82k XS deaths in 2022, 2k in 2020! This is a very interesting way to see the deaths, (the site's data ends at Sept 22)

https://exdeaths-japan.org/en/graph/numberof

Expand full comment